Wednesday, January 25, 2006

United Nations Statistics Division - Demographic and Social Statistics

United Nations Statistics Division - Demographic and Social Statistics: "The World's Women 2005: Progress in Statistics
This report uniquely focuses on this issue of national reporting of sex disaggregated statistics in such areas as demographics, health, education, work, violence against women, poverty, human rights and decision-making. This is the fourth World's Women report since 1991. The previous three focused on statistical trends in the situation of women. Five years ago, the World's Women report emphasized that there was a lack of sex disaggregated data and that the improvement of national statistical capacity - the ability to provide timely and reliable statistics - are essential for improving gender statistics. /.../"

The State of the World's Children 2006

The State of the World's Children 2006
Children Out of Sight, Out of Mind, Out of Reach
Abused and Neglected, Millions of Children Have Become Virtually Invisible

LONDON, 14 December 2005– Hundreds of millions of children are suffering from severe exploitation and discrimination and have become virtually invisible to the world, UNICEF said today in a major report that explores the causes of exclusion and the abuses children experience.
The agency said that millions of children disappear from view when trafficked or forced to work in domestic servitude. Other children, such as street children, live in plain sight but are excluded from fundamental services and protections. Not only do these children endure abuse, most are shut out from school, healthcare and other vital services they need to grow and thrive.
The State of the World's Children 2006: Excluded and Invisible is a sweeping assessment of the world's most vulnerable children, whose rights to a safe and healthy childhood are exceptionally difficult to protect. These children are growing up beyond the reach of development campaigns and are often invisible in everything from public debate and legislation, to statistics and news stories.
Without focused attention, millions of children will remain trapped and forgotten in childhoods of neglect and abuse, with devastating consequences for their long-term well-being and the development of nations. The report argues that any society with an interest in the welfare of its children and its own future must not allow this to happen.
Meeting the Millennium Development Goals depends on reaching vulnerable children /.../

WHO | Chronic disease

WHO Chronic disease: "Chronic disease

'Smoking, diet and physical activity should have received more attention as they are the underlying causes of the major chronic diseases,' -- United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
' � the important issue of chronic disease was not included [in the Millennium Development Goals],' -- Aloyzio C Achutti, Brazil
'Non-communicable diseases � particularly cancers and diabetes,' -- Dr M Karthikeyan, India
Many respondents highlighted health issues that increasingly afflict developing as well as developed countries, like cancer, diabetes and stroke. Changes in diet, physical activity, and tobacco use in both rich and poor countries, have dramatically increased the risks of chronic disease.
During 2005, WHO � together with countries, the private sector, civil society and others � worked on several initiatives to stop the growing chronic disease epidemic, and launched a key report demonstrating the way forward, entitled Preventing chronic disease: a vital investment. In this report, WHO proposes a new global goal � to reduce the projected trend of chronic disease death rates by 2% each year until 2015. This would prevent 36 million people dying of chronic diseases in the next 10 years, nearly half of them before they turn 70.
Related links
- Preventing chronic diseases: a vital investment
- More on chronic disease "

Thursday, January 19, 2006

Asia can eradicate poverty in a generation

DFID News Press Release Asia can eradicate poverty in a generation: "ASIA CAN ERADICATE POVERTY IN A GENERATION
Asia 2015: Promoting Growth, Ending Poverty Conference announced
Lancaster House, London, 6-7 March 2006

The Department for International Development (DFID), in collaboration with the World Bank and Asian Development Bank, today announces details of a conference to be held on 6-7 March 2006 in London to focus attention on building new forms of partnership to eradicate poverty in Asia.
Asia has raised more people out of poverty than any other region at any time in history. Growth has been strong, and though currently two out of three of the world's poorest people live in Asia, by 2015 this could fall to one in three if current trends continue. With continued efforts, it is possible to eradicate poverty in Asia in the next generation. Yet Asia still faces huge challenges in nutrition, health, education, social exclusion, water and sanitation and almost 1.1 billion people still live on less than $1 a day. "/.../

Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Cost Effective Interventions

WHO WHO-CHOICE
Cost Effective Interventions

WHO-CHOICE
CHOICE = CHOosing Interventions that are Cost Effective

The role of the World Health Organization (WHO) includes working with countries to provide the evidence required by decision-makers to set priorities and improve the performance of their health systems.
WHO-CHOICE contributes to this evidence base by assembling regional databases on the costs, impact on population health and cost-effectiveness of key health interventions. It also provides a contextualization tool which makes it possible to adapt regional results to the country level. This work started in 1998 with the development of standard tools and methods which have been used to generate the regional databases. For more information, please see:
- Development of WHO Guidelines on Generalized Cost-Effectiveness Analysis [pdf 146kb] - Generalized Cost Effectiveness Analysis: A Guide [pdf 5.12Mb] - Making Choices in Health: WHO Guide to Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
The work is now focusing on the country contextualisation tools and subsequent policy dialogue. For more information, please see:
Generalized Cost Effectiveness Analysis for national-level priority- setting in the health sector [pdf 357kb]
NEW!COSTS OF HEALTH CARE SERVICES IN YOUR COUNTRY

WHO | Brazil : Costs of Health Care

WHO Brazil: "Estimates of Unit Costs for Patient Services for Brazil
The table on Hospital Costs presents the estimated cost per hospital stay and per outpatient visit by hospital level1. Unit costs are specific to public hospitals, with occupancy rate of 80% and representing the 'hotel' component of hospital costs, i.e., excluding drugs and diagnostic tests and including other costs such as personnel, capital and food costs.
The table on Health Centre Costs presents cost per visit for primary care facilities, i.e. health centres, at different levels of population coverage. It includes all cost components including depreciated capital items but excludes drugs and diagnostics.
The results are presented in International dollars and local currency units of 2000.
KEY
Int $ - international dollars
LCU - Local Currency Units
Population coverage - the percent of population with physical access to primary health "

WHO | The world health reports indicators maps

WHO The world health reports indicators maps

Set of maps with Health indicators

World Health Day 2006: Working together for health

WHO World Health Day 2006: Working together for health:
"World Health Day 2006: Working together for health

Health workers - the people who provide health care to those who need it - are the heart of health systems. But around the world, the health workforce is in crisis - a crisis to which no country is entirely immune. The results are evident: clinics with no health workers, hospitals that cannot recruit or keep key staff.
There is a chronic global shortage of health workers, as a result of decades of underinvestment in their education, training, salaries, working environment and management. This has led to a severe lack of key skills, rising levels of career switching and early retirement, as well as national and international migration."/.../

Guia do Residente Médico para o Ambulatório - 2006

Lançamento Guia do Residente Médico para o Ambulatório - 2006

GUIA DO RESIDENTE MÉDICOPARA O AMBULATÓRIO2006
Darcy Roberto Lima
1ª edição / 2006
540 pgs.
ISBN 85-2771102-8
Código de Barras: 9788527711029
Capa: Brochura
Formato: 14 X 21
Peso: 0,620 Kg
Assunto: Clínica Médica
Preço: R$ 75,00
Sobre o livroCom a constante evolução da ciência médica, o jovem médico quer e busca se aprimorar de forma permanente para um maior sucesso profissional, embora isso nem sempre seja acessível ou de baixo custo. A desatualização médica pode levar ao erro médico e, mesmo que o clínico salve uma vida, desatualizado ele pode comprometer a sua qualidade. Por isto este guia foi escrito. Neste contexto, este manual, de uma forma objetiva e prática, visa auxiliar o médico residente no diagnóstico e tratamento em nível ambulatorial.

Memória Viva apresenta: O Cruzeiro

Memória Viva apresenta: O Cruzeiro
Referência enviada por Rosa Maria Sampaio Vilanova de Carvalho
Vale a pena visitar.
Traz documentos antigos, revistas, inclusive O Cruzeiro e O malho, etc...

Leptin Acts as Rodent Antidepressant - CME Teaching Brief - MedPage Today

Leptin Acts as Rodent Antidepressant - CME Teaching Brief - MedPage Today: "
Advise patients who ask that there are little clinical data connecting leptin and depression in humans and what data exist are contradictory.

Note that this study, in rats, shows that leptin levels are changed in a model of depression, and that injections of leptin tend to reverse the effects of depression, implying that the hormone may have an antidepressant effect."/.../

Exercise Fends Off Dementia in Older Adults - CME Teaching Brief - MedPage Today

Exercise Fends Off Dementia in Older Adults - CME Teaching Brief - MedPage Today: "Exercise Fends Off Dementia in Older Adults
By Neil Osterweil, Senior Associate Editor, MedPage Today
Reviewed by Zalman S. Agus, MD; Emeritus Professor at the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine.
January 16, 2006
Also covered by: San Diego Union-Tribune. MedPage Today Action Points:
Inform interested patients that this prospective cohort study suggested that even moderate exercise -- at least 15 minutes per day three times per week or more -- can help older people significantly delay or reduce their risks of developing Alzheimer's disease or other forms of dementia"/.../

Epidemiologic and economic consequences of the global epidemics of

From: "Susanna Bedell
Para: procor@healthnet.org
Assunto: [ProCOR] Epidemiologic and economic consequences of the global epidemics of
[Overweight and obesity were, until recently, diseases of the developed world. A commentary recently published in Nature Medicine discusses the changes in nutrition and physical activity often associated with urbanization that have resulted in a steadily higher prevalence of obesity and its complications in the developing world. Yach and colleagues also raise important questions about the opportunity costs of changing policies.]
Article: Epidemiologic and economic consequences of the global epidemics of obesity and diabetes.
Authors: Derek Yach, David Stuckler, and Kelly D. Brownell
Reference: Nature Medicine January 2006; 12:62-66.
Reviewer: Susanna E. Bedell, MD

Summary: Rates of overweight and obesity are rising dramatically worldwide.
Complications of overweight and obesity are varied and most importantly include diabetes where '60% of all cases of diabetes can be directly attributed to
weight gain.' The worldwide increase in diabetes is expected to rise from 175 million in 2000 to 353 million by 2030. Throughout the developing world,
diabetes will become an increasingly common problem during this time. The largest increases will be in India (25 to 59 million) and China (14-25 million).
This reflects an increase in the rates of diabetes double the rate observed in the USA, currently the country with the highest incidence of diabetes.

Not only has the incidence of diabetes increased, but the distribution of type 2 diabetes has shifted more heavily to children. In China, for example, over 20%
of children in thelargest urban environments are overweight or obese, anincrease from 2% maximum two decades ago.Yach and colleagues suggest that the changing trend in obesity and diabetes canbe linked to changes in lifestyle and economic incentives, in particular:1. Growing labor market for women outside the home2. Increased consumption of food away from home (so called "fast foods")3. Relative cost of healthy vs calorie dense foods4. Overall increase in caloric intake as prices for certain foods decline5. Decreases in physical activity (occupational and as part of daily life).The economic burden of obesity and diabetes on the healthcare system isenormous. The greatest proportion of expenses for diabetes are forcomplications of the disease and hospitalization for CVD, CVA, leg amputationand renal failure. In Latin America, one third of hospital bed-days areassociated with complications of diabetes. Throughout the world, preventive careis suboptimal, and the developing world has followed the US lead in focusing onacute care. The burden of health care costs in the developing world fallsheavily on the individual: "For diabetic individuals in India, 15-25% ofhousehold income is required to cover treatment costs" for diabetes. In additionto direct healthcare expenditures there are other indirect coststo society such as increases in unemployment and early retirement. Yach and colleagues raise important questions about the opportunity costs ofchanging policies; there are many tradeoffs between "immediate gratification"and future benefits for the society. They propose the need for a "roadmap" thatconsiders the "economic, political, social, psychological, and biologicalfactors."Commentary: As Yach and colleagues suggest, there is an urgent need to addressthe global rising prevalence of obesity and diabetes. As suggested above, thesolutions will be more complex than those that so successfully curbed tobaccouse. The absence of an easy solution should not delay our attempts to workwith individuals, communities, and governments to reverse this trend. As ProCORhas done in the past, we need to share strategies to improve the research agendaso that our actions will have the greatest impact with the lowest cost. Newmodels for effective preventive strategies take precedence over the older USmodel of providing for acute care once complications from diabetes haveoccurred.
Contribute to ProCOR's Global Dialogue by replying to this message orsending an email to ."

Friday, January 13, 2006

Hypochondria

The Lancet: "In classical medicine, such as in Hippocrates' Aphorisms, hypochondria denoted the soft part of the body below the ribs (literally, below cartilage). This region was identified as the source of black bile that, when excessive, was believed to cause diseases of the mind and body. Among these diseases were hypochondria, which was termed hypochondriasis when pathological, and melancholia. In his Anatomy of Melancholy (1621), Robert Burton associated �windy, hypochondriacal melancholy� with �sharp belchings, fulsome crudities, wind and rumbling in the guts�, the patient feeling �fearful, sad, anxious [and] discontent�. Since hypochondriasis originated in the blood and humours, such factors as excessive study or an inappropriate diet could allow �gross, melancholy humours� to rise up from the abdomen and corrupt the brain.
In the 18th century, hypochondria retained a material basis, although nerve theory shifted its emphasis from the body's fluids and humours to its solids and fibres. Robert Whytt's Observations on the Nature, Causes, and Cure of those Disorders which have been commonly called Nervous Hypochondriac, or Hysteric (1765), suggested hypochondria derived from �too great delicacy of the nervous system together with some morbid matter in the blood�. This focus on nervous debility continued into the next century with the idea of neurasthenia encompassing many symptoms traditionally associated with hypochondria, now redefined as a mental affliction. In the 1880s, the American neurologist George Beard confined the term hypochondriasis to cases with a definite delusion of physical disease, originating in exhaustion or abuse to the brain, stomach, and genitalia. Similarly, psychoanalytic accounts emphasised hypochondria's organic basis: Sigmund Freud included"

Thursday, January 12, 2006

On The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

Island Press - Media: "What Will Life on Earth Be Like in 2050?
Press and Policy Briefing, Thursday, January 19th
On The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Looks Five Decades into Future, Cites Ways to Solve Problems (Washington, D.C.) �
On Thursday, January 19th, Island Press will hold a press briefing breakfast at the National Press Club on the condition of the planet in 2050 and how humans will be affected, based on findings of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA). The breakfast begins at 8:30 AM, with the program commencing at 9:00 AM.
The findings and conclusions of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment are published by Island Press in a four-volume set which will be released at the January 19th press briefing. The MA is the product of a 4-year global research initiative, sanctioned by Kofi Annan, Secretary General of the United Nations, as well as 180 governments, in which 1,300 scientists from 95 nations took part. Copies of the report will be available at the briefing.

Although global environmental forecasts have been done before, the MA is the most comprehensive analysis ever conducted and represents the first time scientists have looked at how the health of the environment contributes to human well-being and quality of life and how policy decisions we make today will shape the world of tomorrow.

At the briefing, four leading scientists, who are among the authors of the MA, will examine alternate views of the condition of the planet in the year 2050, which will be shaped by the policy decisions we make now, and their implications for human well-being. Discussion will focus on:
How will the condition of the earth in 2050 affect: 1) food supplies, 2) energy supplies, 3) disease control, 4) air and water quality, 5) economic well-being, 6) trade and more.
"

WISE - exploring the links between policy, poverty and health

WISE - Who We Are: "WISE began in the summer of 2003, as one woman's vision. In exasperation with a system that seemed to have no heart, 'Chris' wrote her story of painful marginalization. With the urging of friends, the story came to the attention of an understanding Programs Officer at Status of Women Canada. Together, they convinced Chris to write a proposal for a project on women's poverty, and once accepted, the rest, as they say, is history.
WISE is now a grassroots nonprofit group of people living in poverty whose mission is to organize, represent, act on behalf of, and join together with other persons in British Columbia whose lives are negatively affected by policies of exclusion.
Our goals include raising the collective voice of persons living in poverty due to policies of exclusion; changing public understanding of poverty as a socioeconomic inevitability, to poverty as a condition of social and economic exclusion; encouraging our communities to work with us to reduce poverty in our neighbourhoods, with such effort benefitting all; and having policymakers recognize that the worsening economic situation of an increasing number of British Columbians has a systemic cause.
We see our task as primarily being to change public perception and understanding of what poverty is and how the cycle of poverty is possible. Until this occurs policymakers and politicians are unlikely to do more than pay lip service to the increasing problem of poverty in BC."

Drinking moderate amounts of coffee may increase a woman's desire for sex

Café e Saúde / Notícias /: "Drinking moderate amounts of coffee may increase a woman's desire for sex, suggests a new US study on female rats.
The research, conducted by Fay Guarraci, an assistant professor of psychology at Southwestern University, and Staci Benson, a recent graduate there, is the first to examine the interaction between caffeine and sex in females.
The two gave 108 female rats a moderate dose of caffeine, at 15mg/kg, to see what effect this would have on mating. "/.../

Sociedade Brasileira de Diabetes

Sociedade Brasileira de Diabetes: "Foi divulgada lista dos finalistas do Prêmio Ibest 2006, a maior premiação da internet no país. O site da SBD está entre os 10 melhores na área de Saúde e Bem-estar. Agora você pode ajudar a chegarmos na final. "

Wednesday, January 11, 2006

Preventing Chronic Disease: January 2006: 05_0156

Preventing Chronic Disease: January 2006: 05_0156: "The Impact of Inequality: How to Make Sick Societies Healthier, by Richard G. Wilkinson, is a sequel to his book, Unhealthy Societies: The Afflictions of Inequality (1). The premise of both books is that the structure of social relations determines the health status of populations; that is, the greater the social inequality (e.g., income disparities) within a society, the poorer the health outcomes (e.g., the higher the death rates). Wilkinson's first book focused on documenting the relationship based on an emerging body of evidence; his second book takes the next step by reviewing the current state of knowledge, offering an explanation, and suggesting potential solutions to the problem. With its carefully assembled and weighted evidence and its clear and convincing argument, the second book is an excellent resource for social scientists, epidemiologists, public health officials, policy makers, and students."/.../

Friday, January 06, 2006

Rosiglitazone and Macular Edema

Rosiglitazone and Macular Edema - GSK
http://www.fda.gov/medwatch/safety/2006/Avandia_DHCPletter.pdf
GlaxoSmithKline has received very rare post-marketing reports of new onset and worsening diabetic macular edema for patients receiving rosiglitazone (Avandia or Avandamet). In the majority of these cases, the patients also reported concurrent peripheral edema. In some cases, the macular edema resolved or improved following discontinuation of therapy and in one case, macular oedema resolved after dose reduction.
Macular edema typically occurs in association with diabetic retinopathy, although it is more likely to occur as retinopathy progresses. Risk factors for macular edema include duration of diabetes, presence of retinopathy, hypertension, and poor glycemic control. Symptoms suggestive of macular edema include blurred or distorted vision, decreased color sensitivity, and decreased dark adaptation./.../

The drug industry and medical professionalism

The Lancet: "Your Editorial (Sept 3, p 781)1 and the Comment by Patrick Vallance (Sept 24, p 1062)2 raise concerns about the activities of some researchers and clinicians in their relationships with the drug industry. Your Editorial draws attention to the fine line trodden by medical researchers who decide to be consultants to investment firms and analysts. You state that these consultants "must at the very least disclose their consultancies to their institution and sponsors of their research". Vallance criticises the use of "ghost writers" and proposes means to expose the status of "opinion leaders". These issues are clearly of relevance to doctors, educators, and editors. But we wonder whether there are wider obligations for transparent disclosure of dual, or multiple, interests."/.../

Tuesday, January 03, 2006

Dementia Prevalence

The Lancet: "100 years after the first description, Alzheimer's disease is one of the most disabling and burdensome health conditions worldwide. We used the Delphi consensus method to determine dementia prevalence for each world region.
Methods
12 international experts were provided with a systematic review of published studies on dementia and were asked to provide prevalence estimates for every WHO world region, for men and women combined, in 5-year age bands from 60 to 84 years, and for those aged 85 years and older. UN population estimates and projections were used to estimate numbers of people with dementia in 2001, 2020, and 2040. We estimated incidence rates from prevalence, remission, and mortality.
Findings
Evidence from well-planned, representative epidemiological surveys is scarce in many regions. We estimate that 24,3 million people have dementia today, with 4,6 million new cases of dementia every year (one new case every 7 seconds). The number of people affected will double every 20 years to 81,1 million by 2040. Most people with dementia live in developing countries (60% in 2001, rising to 71% by 2040). Rates of increase are not uniform; numbers in developed countries are forecast to increase by 100% between 2001 and 2040, but by more than 300% in India, China, and their south Asian and western Pacific neighbours.
Interpretation
We believe that the detailed estimates in this paper constitute the best currently available basis for policymaking, planning, and allocation of health and welfare resources."
De: Reginaldo Albuquerque [mailto:rha@cabonet.com.br]
Enviada em: terça-feira, 3 de janeiro de 2006 15:00
Assunto: Matérias para o site da SBD
Caros amigos: durante 2005 tive a oportunidade de escrever várias matérias para o site da SBD. Abaixo relaciono as dez mais lidas com os respectivos títulos e links. Ao todo foram mais de 100 mil leituras nestas bobagens.
Um abraço
Reginaldo
1.Médicos estão aconselhando novos parâmetros clínicos e metabólicos
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=146>

2.Pirâmide alimentar tem nova forma de distribuição dos alimentos
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=132>

3. Síndrome metabólica e Resistência à insulina revisitadas
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=129>

4. Como interpretar os testes de glicemia no diagnóstico de diabetes
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=136>

5. Insulina inálavel é testada em diabéticos do tipo 2
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=141>

6. É o Sistema endotelial que conta, seu estúpido
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=143>

7. Mudou a meta a ser atingida pela Hemoglobina glicada
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=145>

8. Apesar da ainda estarem longe, pesquisas com células-tronco em
diabetes continuam avançando.
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=127>

9. O HOMA teste e um software livre para o seu computador.
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=137>

10. A informática e a Medicina do futuro.
<http://www.diabetes.org.br/diabeteshoje/index.php?id=144>

--
Posted by Reginaldo to PORTULANOS - Carta de Navegação Médica
<http://portulanos.blogspot.com/2006/01/as-10-notcias-mais-lidas-em-20
05-no.html> at 1/03/2006 01:42:00 PM

Nutrition

The Lancet: "From the Latin nutrire, to suckle, nurse, or nourish, the word came into English via Middle French to mean supplying or receiving nourishment - a meaning that it retains to this day. The importance of proper nutrition was recognised early: Hippocrates advised, "let your food be your medicine and your only medicine be your food" - an idea that has echoes in the modern expression "you are what you eat". The word is rarely used figuratively, although the idea of "spiritual nutrition" appears in religious writings of the 16th and 17th centuries. Nutrition was also used from an early period for the nutritive contents or properties of food itself."/.../

Monday, January 02, 2006

Obesity: the elephant in the corner -- Ogilvie and Hamlet 331 (7531): 1545 -- BMJ

Obesity: the elephant in the corner -- Ogilvie and Hamlet 331 (7531): 1545 -- BMJ:
Recommended by Maria Inês Reinert Azambuja
"In 2055, everybody knew that obesity was a problem, but what did they do about it?
The year is 2055. Socrates is discussing the history of the western obesity epidemic with Panacea, the goddess of healing. "

Sunday, January 01, 2006

Focus: Kill or cure? - Sunday Times - Times Online

Focus: Kill or cure? - Sunday Times - Times Online
The Sunday Times January 01, 2006

Focus: Kill or cure?
First we were told to keep out of the sun to avoid skin cancer. Now a study suggests the resulting vitamin D deficiency can give us other cancers. Is health advice doing us harm? Lois Rogers reports

Rachel Jennings is one of millions of women who have invested heavily in protecting their children from the perils of skin cancer.

For years she has taken care to limit their exposure to the sun during the hottest periods of the day; for family holidays to sunny destinations she has always gone weighed down with the latest sunblocks.

Now she is dismayed to discover that while protecting her children from sunburn and skin cancer, she might have also inadvertently put them at risk of other cancers, heart disease and further illnesses by depriving them of sunlight.

This is because the sun’s ultraviolet radiation is our main source of vitamin D — and scientists now believe that vitamin D deficiency is closely linked to a range of cancers and other diseases.

This week an American analysis of 63 studies published over the past four decades concluded that cancer tumours of the colon and breast are linked to low levels of vitamin D. Other studies have found a link between vitamin D deficiency and schizophrenia, multiple sclerosis and lung diseases.

“It really is impossible to know what to do,” said Jennings, 38, who has two sons: Joe, 9, and Charlie, 6. “I don’t necessarily believe that I have increased their risk of all these horrible things, but it is impossible not to worry as a mother.”

Like many other consumers Jennings is baffled: the more health advice that we receive, the more confusing, if not downright contradictory, it can seem.

In the past few months, for example, scientific journals have reported that coffee might cause fatal heart disease — and that it is full of cancer-preventing antioxidants.

Milk, which contains calcium, is good for the bones — but its fat is bad for the arteries. Red meat is bad for the heart — but high-protein diets, claim some, can help to avoid obesity. A high-fibre diet is good — except that an American study now says that it does not, after all, prevent cancers of the digestive system.

Within days of each other last month, one study was published claiming that an aspirin a day reduced heart disease in women by 25% — but another said that one in 10 of those who take aspirin is at risk of intestinal bleeding and a possible early death.

Science is complex and good health involves balancing one risk against another. But for ordinary consumers, sifting the plethora of different advice is becoming an ever more complex task.

“When you see these headlines you can’t help wondering if we should be looking for the vested interests behind all health advice,” said Jennings, a former marketing executive who now works part-time near her home in Hersham, Surrey. “Have we been peddled the scare about skin cancer by a cosmetics industry that just wants to sell more sunblock, and the vitamin D message by the dietary supplement manufacturers who want to sell more pills?

“The trouble is, it is impossible not to be influenced by it.”


THE vitamin D debate illustrates how health advice evolves. A decade ago, doctors discovered that low intakes and blood levels of vitamin D were associated with arthritis and osteoporosis, the bone-thinning disease. Vitamin D assists the body in the absorption of calcium, which is vital to maintain healthy bones.

Tablet supplements of vitamin D were heavily promoted as a method of preventing bone and joint disorders. But after a flurry of excitement, it became clear that some people still get such diseases whatever they do. It was not long before concerns about vitamin D were overtaken by the rush to avoid the risk of skin cancer inherent in sunlight exposure.

The results of scientific research are, however, cumulative. Studies on vitamin D continued and the latest report draws on decades of research. Cancer specialists led by Cedric Garland of the University of California, San Diego reviewed almost every study of the link between vitamin D and cancer published since the 1960s.

As a result, Garland claims that his analysis has proved a clear link between the vitamin and raised cancer risk, and he is exhorting everyone to begin taking daily vitamin D supplements in tablet form.

“The high prevalence of vitamin D deficiency combined with the discovery of increased risks of certain types of cancer in those who are deficient, suggest that vitamin D deficiency may account for several thousand premature deaths from colon, breast, ovarian and other cancers annually,” he said.

It may be the best available information, but there is still a problem. Most studies that link diet or lifestyle with disease are epidemiological rather than empirical: they examine trends among large numbers of people rather than being based on experiments designed to reveal precise causes and effects.

This has its limitations. Karol Sikora, professor of cancer medicine at the Imperial College School of Medicine, says that to prove that a deficiency of vitamin D causes cancer it would be necessary to stage a 20-year experiment involving, say, 1,000 people with 500 receiving high doses of vitamin D and the rest receiving low doses.

In addition, all other aspects of lifestyle and diet would have to be taken into account.

“Quite apart from the logistics, the boredom factor in this kind of research is just too high,” said Sikora, who has participated in several abortive studies of this nature.

The new study on vitamin D also shows just how difficult it is to identify cause and effect in such research.

A huge European study on diet and cancer found lower rates of cancer among Mediterranean people. It prompted experts to advise that a Mediterranean diet high in fish, fruit, vegetables and olive oil was better than the diet high in meat and dairy fat more common in northern Europe.

Although that still holds, there is now a question about how much of the difference in cancer rates might be down not to diet but to higher levels of sunlight and vitamin D in the Mediterranean regions. “The biggest problem with research in this area, is what we call confounding,” said Tom Sanders, professor of nutrition at King’s College, London.

“Fruit and vegetable intake may be just a marker for some other lifestyle factor, like lower alcohol.” He points out another complication: “Fat people may be at greater risk of disease for other reasons, but vitamin D is stored in fatty tissue so they have a greater capacity to hold on to it. Nothing is ever as straightforward as it seems when you are talking about diet.”

Commercial pressures must also be taken into account since scientists and institutions are constantly battling for publicity and funding. Some complain of university press officers ringing research teams to find out if there is any study they can promote, as well as researchers anxious to raise their own status by promoting weak studies.

Others blame the scientific press. “The British Medical Journal and The Lancet will often send out press releases highlighting the research they consider to be most newsworthy, not necessarily the best science,” said Susan Jebb, head of nutrition and health at the Medical Research Council in Cambridge.

Sikora also warns that the public should always look for the vested interest. “There is no such thing as unbiased advice in health,” he said. “People are either promoting an industry, or their own careers, which may depend on promoting a particular theory, or more directly on funding from vested interests.”

He points out that the skin cancer campaign has been funded largely by the cosmetics industry which makes sunscreens and that research promoting the value of vitamins is frequently subsidised by the food supplements industry.



SUCH caveats leave one question: how, armed with suitable scepticism about health messages, can you achieve a healthy diet and lifestyle? The solution seems to be to follow the weight of scientific evidence in areas that have been researched thoroughly over a period. “The two biggest lifestyle killers are smoking and obesity, and alcohol is an increasing concern,” said Sikora. “Most health experts would agree on that.”

Avoidance or moderation is the rule and there is broad agreement on diet, too. “A diet with at least five servings of fruit and vegetables a day, and moderation in everything else, is a philosophy we should all aspire to,” said Frankie Phillips of the British Dietetic Association. “If people keep that in mind, they should be able to cut through the worst scare stories.

“Sugar, fat and processed foods with high additive content should be avoided. Most people know all this already: it is just a matter of doing it.”

Advice from the government’s Food Standards Agency follows the same thread. Snacks should be fruit or vegetables; alcohol intake should be no more than a couple of glasses of wine or a pint of beer a day; meat consumption should be reduced with products such as sausages and bacon eaten only once a week.

Fatty foods such as chips, along with butter, cream and lard, should be generally avoided and sweets should be an occasional treat rather than a daily indulgence.

As for sun: you need some but not too much. Don’t burn.

A similar message applies for exercise: regular, moderate activity is preferable to sudden bursts followed by inertia. Today Sport England is launching an “everyday sport” campaign to reinforce the idea that new year resolutions based on guilt are not the way to achieve long-term change and that exercise should be built into daily life.

It is possibly no coincidence that the world’s longest-living people have tended to be slim and modest in their dietary habits, with many subsisting on Mediterranean-style foods. The record for longevity is held by Jeanne Louise Calment, from southern France, who died in 1997 aged 122.

Mind you, she, too, is confusing for scientists and consumers: she was a lifelong smoker, apart from a few months when she tried to give up when she was 117.

A GUIDE TO THE THINGS YOU NEED TO DO – AND AVOID DOING – TO LIVE A LONG AND HEALTHY LIFE

FOOD

A good diet is one that is high in nutrients and which keeps your body mass index (BMI) — a ratio of height to weight — low and stable. Repeated studies suggest that diets high in fresh fruit, vegetables, fish and fibrous, starchy foods such as brown bread, rice and pasta are best. The European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (Epic), one of the biggest studies of its type, also advises against over-consumption of red meats and dairy produce such as full-fat milk and butter, as these are high in animal fats and linked to a greater incidence of illness, including cancer. Also avoid processed foods which tend to be low on nutrients and high in fat, salt and sugar. When cooking try to steam, not boil, and to grill, not fry. Do not char food since this can produce potent mutagens that can cause cancer.

DRINK

Keep yourself well hydrated during the day by regularly drinking water. Milk is rich in calcium, which is particularly important for women who are more prone to bone disease. Intake should be limited, though, because of its animal fat content. Coffee contains antioxidants, believed to reduce the risk of cancer-cell formation, but the consensus is that these benefits are offset by the increased stress that caffeine causes. Office workers are being advised by many doctors to switch to green tea, which is high in antioxidants. As for alcohol, repeated studies have suggested that a small daily intake — especially of red wine — is beneficial and may reduce heart disease by up to 25%.

EXERCISE

People should ensure they build cardiovascular exercise and stretches into their fitness regime, but most experts agree there is no need to go anywhere near a gym. Moderate exercise taken daily has greater long-term benefits, not least because it is more likely to become habitual over time. Swimming, walking, dancing, cycling and using stairs instead of escalators or lifts are all good low-impact options. A nine-month study published last year, involving hundreds of overweight middle-aged Americans, found that those on a walking regime achieved higher levels of fitness than those doing short bursts of intense activity in a gym. The older you get, however, the more important it is to do some light lifting to maintain muscular strength. Stretch each morning.

SNACKS

Britain is at the top of the European league for consumption of crisps and other savoury snacks, sweets and fizzy drinks — almost all of which are full of fat, salt and sugar. The artificial sweeteners used in so-called “diet” drinks may also carry health risks if consumed to excess. Best advice is to stock up early each week on fresh fruit, raw vegetables and nuts so that if you do graze throughout the day you reach for those first. If you must treat yourself, go for dark chocolate as it contains antioxidants (but not too much as it is also rich in caffeine).




SUPPLEMENTS

If your diet is balanced and you spend a good few hours outdoors each week you should not need extra vitamins and minerals. However, the latest research on vitamin D suggests a supplement may be beneficial to those who do not get enough daylight. There is also evidence that fish oil supplements can be beneficial if you do not include oily fish such as herring in your diet. Vitamin E supplements are recommended by some doctors as they contain powerful antioxidants, while aspirin is a supplement recommended to thousands of middle-aged adults because it thins the blood and reduces the risk of strokes. It can cause serious stomach problems, however, so consult a GP first.
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